By Philip Cross, June 7, 2021
Alberta’s economy experienced two interrelated shocks in 2020, as the pandemic sweeping the world also led to plummeting prices for crude oil and natural gas. Dealing with this shock was complicated by the pandemic closing large parts of the rest of the economy. The recovery of the oil and gas industry is made more difficult by the price discount on Alberta’s oil because of continuing regulatory restrictions on its access to markets. Meanwhile, Alberta’s record budget deficit limits the scope for government stimulus going forward. The unprecedented scale of all these challenges will test Alberta’s ability to adapt and innovate.
But, as my recent study for the University of Calgary’s School of Public Policy found, there are several reasons to believe that Alberta has the policies and cultural values that encourage innovation and entrepreneurship and drive long-run economic growth. Alberta’s cultivation of entrepreneurial values is reflected in above-average rates of firm entry and exit. Its highly cyclical economy means it has always had to adapt to new and changing circumstances, something its labour force now does particularly well. Alberta is the province most open to trade and deploys fewer regulations to protect incumbent firms, forcing businesses to innovate in order to survive and thrive.
Startups averaged 5.5 per cent of all Alberta firms between 2015 and 2020 versus just 4.9 per cent in the rest of Canada. Over the same period, 5.7 per cent of all Alberta firms exited every year versus (again) 4.9 per cent in the rest of Canada. University of Calgary economists Robert Mansell and Michael Percy have linked Alberta’s high rates of entry to a strong entrepreneurial drive “rooted in rural-conservative values characterized by rugged individualism, risk taking, entrepreneurial awareness, and an appreciation of adversity.” Alberta’s traditional orientation to export markets, in which governments can provide only minimal protection, has encouraged this culture of self-reliance and adaptability.
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